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International Log & Sawnwood Prices

01-15th October 2006

1. CENTRAL/ WEST AFRICA

Firm prices stay unchanged
There were no significant price changes by mid-October. Trading and prices remained very stable with steady demand from China and India. Sapele logs were in demand and prices have maintained the price levels achieved in September.

Meanwhile, sawmills in the region continued to report good business as well as steady and firm prices. Rains continued to affect road transport of logs and lumber in Cameroon and North Congo.

Gabon's niangon logs were priced at €220-230 per m3 FOB. There was no firm news about major progress in resumption of log and lumber exports from Liberia, where niangon was previously a firm favourite for French importers. There had been reports of some recent exports of niangon and other red species from the Port of Conakry, Guinea. However, the volumes seemed to be small and there was no clear information on destinations.

Robust demand exceeds red timbers' supply
There have been some price rises of KD sapele, sipo, padouk and maobi sawnwood. Rising production costs in African sawnmills have been the main reasons behind the price rises, according to Euwid. Higher fuel and energy costs, in particular, are making processing and transportation more expensive while rising customs duties and taxes are pushing costs up. Stronger European demand for sapele and sipo due to reduced meranti supply from Southeast Asia also plays a role in the price hike. Moreover, China and India continue their competition for larger shares of African red timber while the USA turns to sipo to replace khaya lumber.

European importers believe stocks of sapele and sipo are relatively low as a result of the strong demand. As a result, it is increasingly difficult for European buyers to place new orders as many African sawmills are already several months behind in deliveries. The problem is compounded
by rains in Northern Congo Basin and political instability in DRC.

New law marks new era for Liberian forests
Liberia passed a new forestry law last week, opening a new era for the Liberian forestry sector. The new legislation will allow the implementation of Liberia's first ever forestry policy, which has been developed with the assistance of numerous international partners through the Liberia Forest Initiative. Forest resources in Liberia are important to its economy and constitute 47% of its land. In
the late 1990s, their contribution to the GDP amounted to about 20% and accounted for over 50% of the country's export earnings.

In 2003, the UN Security Council imposed sanctions on the country's diamond and timber industries on grounds that proceeds from the sales were being used to fuel the civil war. On 20 June 2006 (see TTM 11:12), the world body lifted the sanctions and gave the government of Liberia 90 days to pass a new legislation on forestry or forfeit the lifting of sanction on the country.

2. GHANA 

TIDD promotes alternative species in construction
Ghana's Ministry of Lands, Forestry and Mines is conducting research on the use of oil palm as lumber in the building and construction industry, according to Mrs. Hilda Awuah-Seiwah, a manager of the Timber Industry Development Division (TIDD) during the fourth International Building Exhibition, in Accra. Research has already been successfully carried out on eight tree species
and plants including esia, dahoma, danta, denya, esa, afena, bamboo and coconut tree.

She informed that some 680 plants in the forests had been identified and were under study to be used in the construction industry in place of primary timber species such as odum, mahogany, edinam and sapele, which were facing declining availability. Research had shown that esa was harder than odum in the construction of railway lines and in the marine sector.

Mrs. Awuah-Siwah admitted that it had not been easy to change attitudes in the construction industry with regard to the use of the new species. She was, however, optimistic of the results of an extensive education drive, such as exhibitions to promote the new species in the construction
and building industry.

3. MALAYSIA 

Prices retained at stable levels
Apart from logs, plywood and other panel products, prices of Malaysian timber products, especially sawnwood, were relatively stable in the first half of October.

Plywood market bullish on soaring Japanese demand
Plywood manufacturers were enjoying a boom as Japan emerged as the main importer for most of the year and was expected to remain so for the rest of the year. Japan was buying up to 70% of the total plywood production from Malaysian plywood manufacturers, mainly from Sarawak.

Coconut used in plywood manufacturing
Malaysian manufacturers have successfully incorporated wood fibers from coconut trees in plywood manufacturing. The use of coconut as an alternative source of raw material is expected to relieve pressure on oil palm plantations.

Malaysia and EU to hold more formal talks on VPA
Malaysia and the EU will hold formal talks in November to formalize the certification of timber exports to Europe, which account for about 30% of Malaysia total timber exports. An EU delegation led by the Netherlands would visit Kuala Lumpur next month. Malaysia and the EU had launched formal negotiations on 25 September in Brussels (see TTM 11:16) to establish a voluntary partnership agreement (VPA) on preventing illegally produced timber from entering the EU market. A timber licensing scheme will be set up to be used by customs authorities in verifying the legality of imported timber. The VPA will also provide for joint studies and capacity-building. The VPA with Malaysia would be the first agreement to be reached under the EU Forest Law Enforcement, Governance and Trade (FLEGT) programme.

With the VPA, each timber piece would be traced based on the chain of custody, beginning from where it was logged and from which concession to how it was taken to the sawmill, made into finished products and shipped to which port in Europe. Plantation Industries and Commodities Minister D.P. Chin said the VPA would also provide Malaysia a competitive edge over its biggest rivals in Asia such as Indonesia, China and Vietnam.

El Niño causes havoc to log extraction
The raw material supply situation is becoming critical for producers in West Malaysia. El Niño has not created the dry spells in Malaysia as anticipated. So far, it has brought torrential thunderstorms across the country instead. With the year-end monsoon season around the corner, extracting timber from the forests will be a daunting task for timber producers.

Meanwhile, leaders from the various timber trade associations in West Malaysia have unanimously called on the government to help address the tight raw material supply situation. It is likely that the Malaysian Timber Council (MTC) would be assigned the task to tackle this issue. Prices of Malaysian timber products are expected to make gains across the board by mid-November 2006.

Timber industry briefed on developments in FTAs
The Sarawak Timber Industry Development Corporation (STIDC), the Ministry of Plantation Industries and Commodities (KPPK) and the Malaysian Timber Industry Board (MTIB) jointly organised a briefing on Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) recently. The briefing was on developments in trade liberalisation efforts that had been or were being negotiated by the Malaysian government.

The ASEAN-China FTA came into force on 1 July 2003 and its main provisions included: modalities for tariff reduction; rules of origin (RoO); removal of non-tariff barriers; and safeguard measures (i.e. to prevent antidumping). The modalities for tariff reduction and elimination for timber products are divided into Early Harvest Programme (EHP), Normal Track (NT) and Sensitive Track (ST). Under the NT between the ASEAN 6 (Singapore, Brunei Darussalam, Thailand, Philippines, Malaysia and Indonesia) and China, all tariffs will be eliminated by 1 January 2012. Malaysia has placed all
timber products under NT, except plywood which has been placed under ST.

The ASEAN-Korea FTA was launched on 1 July 2006. Malaysia has placed all timber and timber products under NT with tariff elimination scheduled in 2010, except for tariff on plywood which will be eliminated in 2012. Malaysia's position on Rules of Origin, timber is to follow the general rule i.e. Regional Value Content 40% or Change in Tariff Heading (CTH, change in the first 4 digits).

The Malaysia-Japan FTA came into effect in July 2006, with both countries having their own agreed modality for tariff reduction and elimination of tariff lines. Malaysia is also negotiating FTAs with the USA, Pakistan, Australia and New Zealand. The Malaysia-USA FTA is expected to be completed by early 2007. Products Specific Rules (PSR) would be negotiated: RoO for timber products would be based on CTH, plywood on CTH or Value Added (VA) 40% and furniture on Change in Tariff Subheading (CTSH, change in the first 6 digits). Malaysia has requested the USA to place all timber products under NT, with tariff to be reduced within 10 years, except for tariffs for mouldings, plywood, fibreboard and builders'carpentry joinery, which are to be placed under EHP (before FTA implementation). Malaysia has offered to place all Chapter 44 timber products under NT, for tariffs
to be reduced gradually within 10 years.

In the case of the Malaysia-Australia/New Zealand FTA negotiations, the general RoO for timber and timber products would be CTH, but Malaysia has requested CTH or VA 40% for plywood and CTSH for furniture. Malaysia has also proposed that tariffs for all timber and timber products under Chapter 44 be reduced to zero under NT by 2015.

At the ASEAN level, FTAs are being negotiated with India, Japan, Australia and New Zealand. Malaysia is trying to build the ASEAN-Japan FTA negotiations on the Malaysia-Japan FTA.

Malaysia chalks gains in certified timber products
Exports of MTCC-certified timber products amounted to 5,903 m3 in June 2006. The main markets were the Netherlands (48% of the exports), Norway (18%) and the UK (16%). Sawnwood (65%) and plywood (30%) were the main export products. Malaysia cumulative exports of certified products since July 2002 had reached 89,933 m3.

 

Malaysia requested to report on 2006 ramin quotas
The 54th meeting of the Standing Committee (SC-54) of CITES recently convened in Geneva considered the harvesting of ramin. The EU urged Malaysia to significantly lower 2007 quotas and proposed a further review at future SC meetings. The SC agreed to continue the request to Malaysia, Indonesia and China to report to future SCs and asked Malaysia to submit its report on
2006 quotas to the Secretariat. It further agreed to revisit the issue at SC-56 in 2008.

4. INDONESIA  

Prices retreat amid slowdown in construction
Prices of Indonesian timber products continued to fall across the board with domestic construction projects grinding to almost a standstill during Ramadan. The general lack of security at worksites had prompted contractors not to stockpile any timber on site until the fasting month was over and work resumed.

Indonesian ply mills cut prices to remain competitive
Years of neglect in the Indonesian plywood industry was throwing the industry into disarray. With aging equipment and lack of proper and adequate infrastructure, Indonesian plywood manufacturers were finding it difficult to compete with plywood manufacturers in Sarawak for the Japanese, Chinese and the emerging Indian market. As a result, some Indonesian plywood manufacturers had
resorted to price undercutting to remain competitive. There were concerns that illegal logged timbers might end up in the supply chain in such a situation.


Help to Indonesian fire conditional to pact ratification
Southeast Asian nations failed on 13 October to agree on a detailed plan to tackle Indonesian forest fires, urging Indonesia to ratify an ASEAN anti-haze pollution pact before it could expect aid. Environment and other Ministers from Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and Brunei held an emergency meeting on the issue last Friday.

Indonesia had appealed at the meeting for help to fight the forest and brush fires that have spread smoke over much of Southeast Asia, triggering fears of a repeat of months of choking haze in 1997-98 that cost the region billions in economic losses. One official estimated the fires raging in
parts of Sumatra and Indonesia's part of Borneo island had so far cost the country $1 billion in economic damage this year. Indonesia's neighbours were growing increasingly frustrated with Indonesia's failure to tackle the annual dry season fires, most of which were deliberately lit by
farmers as well as timber and oil palm plantation owners.

5. MYANMAR

Demand for teak logs shows resilience
The teak log market remained active. Demand was good against supply despite some buyers saying that the log grades were poor. The next teak log tender will be on 30 October. Meanwhile, the pyinkadoe market was very weak. Some buyers claimed that substitutes from PNG and
Africa were replacing pyinkadoe. The market for gurjan remained dynamic only for fresh logs.

 

6. PAPUA NEW GUINEA  

Forest Authority holds regional seminar on FLEG
The PNG Forest Authority recently held a South Pacific Regional Seminar on Forest Law Enforcement and Governance (FLEG) attended by several stakeholders and international bodies, including ITTO, World Bank, SGS, CIFOR, Australia¡¯s Department of Forestry and the EU. The seminar will serve as an input to a study of forest law enforcement in PNG being funded by ITTO. Highlights of some of the presentations made at the seminar will be presented at the next issue of the TTM Report.

7. BRAZIL 

Rainy season heralds tight timber supplies
The beginning of the rainy season has brought concerns to the solid-wood industry in Northern Mato Grosso. Long distances and poor road conditions during this period made companies intensify their operations to maintain raw material supplies. However, the region's Lumber Industry Union (SINDUSMAD) conceded that a large number of companies were already with low supplies. The sector had also been apprehensive as a result of a number of factors, including delays in approval of forest management plans by the government and the strong appreciation of the real against the US dollar. Sinop is a major forest industrial cluster in the region with timber sales of 111 million reais
in the year to August, accounting for 20% of the total trade state-wide. About 50% of the production is exported, making it the largest exporting sector of the state.

Intensified IBAMA operations net largest ever seizures
Ibama was implementing a number of operations against environmental crimes as part of the Amazon deforestation prevention and control plan of the federal government. During a week-long operation in late September, Ibama's Kojima Operation seized nearly 15,000 m³ of unlicensed
timber of different species (ipe, jatob, massaranduba and muitacatiara) in Para, probably the largest seize ever in the state. The operation involved 30 control agents, 53 environmental policemen, 23 vehicles and one IBAMA aircraft, all combating illegal harvesting, transportation
and wood storage. The Kojima Operation closed four of the eleven inspected lumber companies and issued 14 penalties totalling 1.1 million reais. Ibama's former Guariba Operation had seized 8,500 m³ of sawnwood and logs in a three-week action in Mato Grosso. The Kojima Operation would continue in the region until December or even be extended.

Slowing US economy hits Brazilian furniture exports
Furniture sales reached $628.6 million in the year to August, down 9% from 2005. The overall projection for 2006 is a 12% decrease from $990.4 million in 2005. Firms blame the exchange rate policy and the tax burden for the loss of shares in key markets, such as the USA, the major destination of the Brazilian furniture. According to the Brazilian Association of Furniture Industry
(ABIMOVEL), some furniture producers had halted exports while others were selling at a loss, in expectation of a change in the exchange rate.

Imports to the USA, which accounts for about one-third of Brazil's total furniture shipments, have fallen 26% to $204.7 million in the year to August. Rio Grande do Sul's furniture exports to the USA are almost halved to $30.5 million in the period. According to the Association of Furniture industries of Rio Grande do Sul (MOVERGS), a number of factors are affecting exports to the USA. These
included the US economy slowing down, domestic problems with furniture distribution in the USA and competition from China and, recently, Colombia. The Association noted that there are still opportunities for selling furniture this year during the High Point Fair in North Carolina and for the approaching Christmas season.

Commercial agriculture is top driver of deforestation
Recent findings have shown that direct conversion of forest to cropland in Mato Grosso reached 540,000 ha during 2001-2004, peaking at 23% of all the deforestation in 2003, according to a study led by the US University of Maryland. The findings indicate a shift in deforestation from the traditional cattle-ranching and small-plot farming uses toward large-scale agriculture. The study found that clearings for cropland averaged twice the size of clearings for pasture while conversion took place rapidly with more than 90% of the clearings planted in the first year after deforestation. Deforestation for large-scale cropland accounted for 17% of forest loss in large clearings. The
area deforested for cropland and average soybean prices were directly correlated, suggesting that deforestation could rise should international crop prices climb.

8. PERU 

CITES to identify specific actions for mahogany trade
The 54th meeting of the Standing Committee (SC-54) of CITES was convened in Geneva, Switzerland, from 2-6 October 2006. The SC considered bigleaf mahogany trade in Peru and ramin trade in Malaysia. The US, supported by the EU, proposed the SC to identify specific actions that
Peru must take by SC-55, with SC-55 reconsidering the issue and, if compliance is deemed unsatisfactory, recommending a trade ban at COP-14. The SC agreed, inter alia, to address bigleaf mahogany trade in Peru at future SC meetings.

The SC requested the Secretariat to visit Peru to review progress and report to SC-55. The SC-55 will be held on 2 June 2007, in The Hague, the Netherlands, immediately prior to COP-14 which will be held from 3-15 June 2007.

9. BOLIVIA

Certified Bolivian forests exceed 2 mil ha mark
The certified forest area in Bolivia totals 2,157,693.8 ha, making it the world's largest area in the tropics certified by FSC and one of the largest natural tropical forests to be certified. The area covers 16 certified operations of which 14 are concessions (98% of the area) and two private
properties (2%). In addition, there are 26 FSC chain-of-custody certifications, of which 23 are firms
producing sawnwood, parquet, furniture, doors, windows and two more are artisan workshops.

10. Guatemala 

US swaps Guatemalan debt for forest protection
The USA will forgive about 20% of the $122 million debt owed by Guatemala to be used to protect threatened plants and wildlife. The deal is the largest amount of debt forgiven under the 1998 US Tropical Forest Conservation Act, which allows debt owed to the USA to be invested in protecting the environment. Over $24 million would be set aside to sponsor conservation projects in the next 15 years in Guatemala's rain forests, mangrove reserves and volcanic mountain chains. In recent years, Guatemala's national parks have been threatened by slash-and-burn agriculture and land grabs.

11. Guyana

Guyana expects higher earnings from wood exports
The total value of wood products exported from Guyana reached $41.64 million at the end of September 2006. This was equivalent to 86% of the total exports in 2005. The main export products were sawn lumber (38% of the exports), logs (37%) and plywood (16%). It is expected that the value of exports for 2006 would surpass the value for 2005.

FPMC steps up aggressive campaign for timber exports
The Forest Products Marketing Council (FPMC) continued its aggressive marketing and promotion
campaign in the Caribbean and North America to promote Guyanese wood products and lesser used species. A shipment of sawn cumaru (known as tonka bean in Guyana) was recently sent to the USA, probably the first shipment ever of this species in sawn lumber. FPMC expected this trend to continue for other species and other products such as decking.

  

Abbreviations

LM       Loyale Merchant, a grade of log parcel  Cu.m         Cubic Metre
QS        Qualite Superieure    Koku         0.278 Cu.m or 120BF
CI          Choix Industriel                                                       FFR           French Franc
CE         Choix Economique                                                        SQ              Sawmill Quality
CS         Choix Supplimentaire      SSQ            Select Sawmill Quality
FOB      Free-on-Board     FAS            Sawnwood Grade First and
KD        Kiln Dry                               Second 
AD        Air Dry        WBP           Water and Boil Proof
Boule    A Log Sawn Through and Through MR              Moisture Resistant
              the boards from one log are bundled                      pc         per piece      
              together                      ea                each      
BB/CC  Grade B faced and Grade C backed MBF           1000 Board Feet          
              Plywood   MDF           Medium Density Fibreboard
BF        Board Foot F.CFA         CFA Franc        
Sq.Ft     Square Foot              Price has moved up or down
Source:ITTO'  Tropical Timber Market Report

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